Sunday, September 23, 2012

Population Ratio of Recruits Per State Past 5-Years

Population Ratio of Recruits Per State Past 5-Years


Photo by: National Underclassmen Football Combine

Population Ratio of Recruits Per State Past 5-Years

Courtesy: Barry Every / National Underclassmen Combine         Release: September 18, 2012
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The National Underclassmen loves to play with numbers when it comes to recruiting. Have you ever wondered which state produces the most high school DI players based on its population? Basically what are the odds of you running into a DI football prospect in a particular state? 
We have taken the 2010 census population of each state and divided it by the average number of recruits each state has produced over the past five years. Column one are the states listed in order of DI players per population. Column two is the current population rank of each state. Column three is the actual population of each state based the 2010 US Census. Column four is the five year average of the number of high school DI recruits a state produces each year. Column five is the ratio of recruits per overall state population. And finally column six is the NUC region of the country each state resides in.
How do I look at these numbers? For example for every 54,488 people in Louisiana there is one high school DI signee. Louisiana happens to be 25th in state population but is number one based on the number of DI prospects it produces per total population of state.
Let's break which states/regions actually produce more players per population. Louisiana produces the most players per state population followed closely by Alabama, Florida, and Georgia.  Surprisingly Hawaii produces the 5th most players based on their state population. The final five in the Top 10 in order are Mississippi, Texas, Ohio, Oklahoma, and South Carolina. Six of the Top 10 states that produce high school DI talent are in the Southeast region of the country. The Southwest region is the only other region of the country with more than one state in the Top 10.
Three states have not produced any high school DI prospects over the past five years, Maine, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The Empire State is third in population yet produces very few DI football prospects based on population. For every 814,206 people in New York there is just one DI prospect coming out of high school each year. California which is number one in state population is only 16th in producing high school DI players each year per population. Illinois and Pennsylvania are the 5th and 6th most populated states in America. Yet they are 27th and 21st respectively in producing players per population.
What about the District of Columbia? Well technically it is not a state and it would be like taking the population of any city in the USA and dividing that by the number of recruits a city produces. But for those who want to know D.C. produces an average of 9.4 DI players per year with a 2010 US Census population of 601,723. That would mean one in every 64,013 people in the district is a DI recruit in any given year. That would put D.C. between Georgia and Hawaii amongst the state rankings.
What does this all mean? It could mean that the states that produce more players per population each year put more emphasis on the importance of football. It could also mean that the states towards the bottom either don't stress football or they are simply just not recruited that hard by DI colleges. Maybe these states stress sports other than football. Either way have fun with the numbers as the NUC looks to not only entertain but educate its fan base.
Signees of the three military academies are not figured into these numbers. We would also like to thank the staff at Texas Football Magazine for taking the time to calculate the number if high school DI signees for all 50 states each year.
 
 
State
Pop. Rank
2010 Census
5yr avg.
Pop. Ratio
Region
Louisiana
25
4533372
83.2
54488
SE
Alabama
23
4779736
83
57587
SE
Florida
4
18801310
320
58754
SE
Georgia
9
9687653
154.6
62663
SE
Hawaii
40
1360301
21.2
64165
West
Mississippi
31
2967297
44
67439
SE
Texas
2
25145561
361.2
69617
SW
Ohio
7
11536504
153.4
75205
MW
Oklahoma
28
3751351
38.8
96684
SW
South Carolina
24
4625364
41.2
112266
SE
Utah
34
2763885
24.4
113274
West
Arkansas
32
2915918
24
121497
SE
Maryland
19
5773552
39.8
145064
East
Tennessee
17
6346105
42.4
149672
SE
Virginia
12
8001024
51.2
156270
East
California
1
37253956
236.6
157455
West
Michigan
8
9883640
60.6
163096
MW
North Carolina
10
9535483
58.4
163279
SE
Indiana
15
6483802
36.2
179111
MW
Kansas
33
2853118
15.6
182892
MW
Pennsylvania
6
12702379
68.6
185166
East
New Jersey
11
8791894
45.2
194511
East
Arizona
16
6392017
32.4
197284
West
Nevada
35
2700551
13.6
198570
West
Colorado
22
4919479
24.2
203284
West
Delaware
45
897934
4.4
204076
East
Illinois
5
12830632
61
210338
MW
Idaho
39
1567582
6.8
230527
West
Nebraska
38
1826341
7
260905
MW
Kentucky
26
4339367
16.6
261408
MW
Washington
13
6724540
25.4
264746
West
Missouri
18
5988927
22.2
269771
MW
Iowa
30
3046355
10.2
298662
MW
Oregon
27
3831074
10.8
354729
West
Wisconsin
20
5686986
15.2
374144
MW
New Mexico
36
2059179
5.2
395996
West
Minnesota
21
5303925
10.4
509993
MW
Connecticut
29
3574097
7
510585
East
West Virginia
37
1852994
3.4
544998
East
Montana
44
989415
1.8
549675
West
Massachusetts
14
6547629
10.8
606262
East
South Dakota
46
814180
1
814180
West
New York
3
19378102
23.8
814206
East
Wyoming
50
563626
0.6
939377
West
New Hampshire
42
1316470
1.2
1097058
West
North Dakota
48
672591
0.6
1120985
West
Alaska
47
710231
0.6
1183718
West
Maine
41
1328361
0
None
East
Rhode Island
43
1052567
0
None
East
Vermont
49
625741
0
None
East
*District of Columbia

 601723
 9.4        
64013 
East
 
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